Bayes' Theorem - Educational Content

Bayes' Theorem Visualizer

Understand how to revise predictions based on new data.

The Definition

Bayes' Theorem is a fundamental formula in probability that calculates the updated probability of an event (A) given new evidence (B). It relates the likelihood of the evidence to the prior belief.

P(A|B) =

P(B|A) ⋅ P(A) P(B)

Where:
P(A|B) The updated probability after seeing the evidence. Also called the result. is the Posterior,
P(B|A) The probability of seeing this evidence IF the hypothesis is true. is the Likelihood,
P(A) Your initial belief before seeing any new evidence. is the Prior, and
P(B) The total probability of the evidence occurring, regardless of whether the hypothesis is true or false. is the Evidence.

 Interactive Practice

Memorize the Formula

Try writing the theorem below to commit it to memory.

P(A|B) = [P(B|A) * P(A)] / P(B)

Bayesian Probability Interactive

Adjust sliders to see how evidence updates belief.

TP

FP

Final Probability P(H|E)

16.7%

Given a positive result, this is the chance it's actually true.

P(H) Prior 1% The "Prior" width: How common is the condition?

P(E|H) Sensitivity 99% The height of the Dark Blue box.

P(E|¬H) False Pos 5% The height of the Red box.

Memorize over 170 chemical structures by practically drawing and using Spaced Repetition algorithm

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Chemical Structures SRS

Draw the structure, then rate your memory!

Choose a subject: All Subjects General Chemistry Organic Chemistry Biochemistry Common Drugs & Molecules A Level Chemistry O Level Chemistry Medicinal Chemistry Inorganic Chemistry Physical Chemistry Analytical Chemistry Olympiad Chemistry (IChO / IJSO) GRE Chemistry & University Level Advanced Chemistry (IUPAC / Professional)

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N5 JLPT - Practice writing Japanese Characters - Five at a time - Part 9

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Aakifah telling the meanings of Ta'awwudh and Tasmiyah (Urdu)

In this video (in Urdu), Aakifah Usman Paracha tells the meanings of Ta'awwudh and Tasmiyah. Hope, it will help our children in learning their meanings.

Subscribe to the channel of Official SayPeople by going to the link: https://www.youtube.com/c/officialsaypeople?sub_confirmation=1

Support the work on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/uzparacha . It could be of significant help and inspiration to move forward and create more content, especially useful and productive content.

Usman Zafar Paracha also likes writing. The app “Quotes by Usman Zafar Paracha” contains the quotations of Usman Zafar Paracha, and it can be downloaded here: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.saypeople.usmanquotes

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'Quranic:' - One of the best apps to 'Learn Quran and Arabic'... (Urdu)

This video, in Urdu, relates to one of the most beneficial apps to learn Quran Majeed and Arabic. Hope, you will like and share with others.

App on playstore: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.pnw.quranic.quranicandroid&hl=en&gl=US

SayPeople's Group on Quranic app: https://getquranic.page.link/44QwX39xeMezRyDD8

Subscribe to the channel of Official SayPeople by going to the link: https://www.youtube.com/c/officialsaypeople?sub_confirmation=1

Support the work on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/uzparacha . It could be of significant help and inspiration to move forward and create more content, especially useful and productive content.

Usman Zafar Paracha also likes writing. The app “Quotes by Usman Zafar Paracha” contains the quotations of Usman Zafar Paracha, and it can be downloaded here: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.saypeople.usmanquotes

Join Usman Zafar Paracha on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/usmanzparacha/

On Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/uzparacha

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On LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/usmanzafarparacha/

Pakistani students' problems during education

Some of the problems faced by students in the current educational setup are as follows;

1. Focus on basic education only
2. Poorly updated curriculum
3. Inappropriate examination system
4. Costly education
5. Unstable educational policies

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